Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.494280 0.544643 0.598790 0.661475 0.732221 0.809790 0.901547
2025-10-05 0.419729 0.490949 0.573244 0.675992 0.801709 0.951631 1.145614
2025-10-12 0.375869 0.457430 0.556346 0.686414 0.854833 1.068164 1.363054
2025-10-19 0.342212 0.429664 0.539871 0.690962 0.895893 1.168850 1.567989
2025-10-26 0.315595 0.406779 0.525482 0.694153 0.932343 1.263996 1.774107
2025-11-02 0.295132 0.389315 0.515506 0.700676 0.971927 1.365373 1.999854
2025-11-09 0.270922 0.364291 0.492426 0.685592 0.977500 1.416039 2.153024
2025-11-16 0.256743 0.351787 0.485343 0.692170 1.014658 1.516759 2.397245
2025-11-23 0.240977 0.335636 0.471430 0.686762 1.031987 1.587022 2.598797
2025-11-30 0.229536 0.324813 0.464267 0.690595 1.063570 1.682751 2.856578
2025-12-07 0.215940 0.309774 0.449520 0.680949 1.071643 1.738913 3.049135
2025-12-14 0.204010 0.296430 0.436336 0.672506 1.080487 1.796575 3.251565
2025-12-21 0.188991 0.277619 0.413671 0.647139 1.058568 1.798118 3.346759
2025-12-28 0.183702 0.273674 0.414305 0.660855 1.106837 1.934171 3.737949
2026-01-04 0.178100 0.268822 0.413037 0.671008 1.149338 2.063833 4.137080
2026-01-11 0.171821 0.262462 0.408788 0.675434 1.181341 2.176269 4.517042
2026-01-18 0.165779 0.256107 0.404080 0.678538 1.210887 2.286862 4.912001
2026-01-25 0.160747 0.251120 0.401328 0.684885 1.247199 2.415653 5.374522
2026-02-01 0.152528 0.240320 0.387867 0.670208 1.239800 2.449245 5.603195
2026-02-08 0.148305 0.236095 0.385646 0.676608 1.276106 2.583607 6.120971
2026-02-15 0.142539 0.228902 0.377714 0.671346 1.287351 2.662206 6.502837
2026-02-22 0.138497 0.224499 0.374520 0.675076 1.318075 2.789869 7.049550
2026-03-01 0.132809 0.216917 0.365102 0.665689 1.319171 2.846487 7.399563